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ECB - Working paper series

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Latest posts

Last updated 5 days ago

A new model to forecast energy inflation in the euro area

5 days ago

Energy inflation is a major source of headline inflation volatility and forecast...

From losses to buffer - calibrating the positive neutral CCyB rate in the euro area

6 days ago

We study the impact of cyclical systemic risks on banks’ profitability in...

Organized crime and banks: assessing the effects of anti-mafia police actions on lending

6 days ago

This study examines how dismantling Mafia-connected firms affects banks’ lending practices. Using...

Pricing or panicking? Commercial real estate markets and climate change

27 days ago

This paper provides the first study of climate risk pricing in euro...

The poor, the rich, and the credit channel of monetary policy

28 days ago

Monetary policy can have contrasting effects on economic inequality via distinct channels...

The impact of monetary policy and macroprudential policy on corporate lending rates in the Euro area

28 days ago

We examine the differential impact of monetary policy and macroprudential policy on...

Liquidity dependencies in the euro area

29 days ago

This study investigates to what extent the significant liquidity injections by the...

From purchases to exit: central bank interventions in corporate debt markets

about 1 month ago

Central banks increasingly act as market-makers-of-last-resort, yet the impact and exit of...

Rational inattention during an RCT

about 1 month ago

We introduce an information provision experiment into a standard dynamic rational inattention...

Bank lending rates and the riskiness of euro area household loans

about 1 month ago

I assess the impact of the recent hike in bank lending rates...

Beware of large shocks! A non-parametric structural inflation model

about 1 month ago

We propose a novel empirical structural inflation model that captures non-linear shock...

Mortgage refinancing and the marginal propensity to consume

about 2 months ago

This paper investigates the role of mortgage refinancing in shaping the estimates...