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ECB - Working paper series

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Last updated 1 day ago

Violent conflict and cross-border lending

2 days ago

How do violent conflicts shape cross-border lending? Using data on syndicated loans...

Monetary policy transmission through cross-selling banks

2 days ago

We show theoretically how the anticipated cross-selling of loans incentivizes banks to...

Falling interest rates and credit reallocation: lessons from general equilibrium

7 days ago

We show that in a canonical model with heterogeneous entrepreneurs, financial frictions...

Global evidence on profit shifting within firms and across time

7 days ago

We provide estimates of profit shifting for over 2 million firm-year observations...

Local institutional ownership and price discovery around extreme weather events

8 days ago

In this event study, we analyze the effect of market segmentation on...

Strike while the iron is hot – optimal monetary policy under state-dependent pricing

9 days ago

We characterize optimal monetary policy under state-dependent pricing. The framework gives rise...

The unexpected upside of depreciation: bridging Europe’s income divide

10 days ago

This paper investigates the impact of foreign exchange (FX) shocks on income...

The central bank’s balance sheet and treasury market disruptions

10 days ago

This paper studies how Treasury market dynamics depend on adjustments to the...

The international dimension of repo: five new facts

11 days ago

We analyze the international dimension of repo markets using novel euro area...

Inflation and floating-rate loans: evidence from the euro-area

11 days ago

We provide novel evidence on the supply-side transmission of monetary policy through...

Enhancing GDP nowcasts with ChatGPT: a novel application of PMI news releases

15 days ago

This study involves tasking ChatGPT with classifying an “activity sentiment score” based...

A new model to forecast energy inflation in the euro area

29 days ago

Energy inflation is a major source of headline inflation volatility and forecast...