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ECB - European Central Bank
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Latest posts
Last updated about 7 hours ago
The cost of not knowing: how uncertainty weighs on the euro area economy
about 7 hours ago
Economic uncertainty – the extent to which households, firms, investors and policymakers...
Forecasting the euro area job vacancy rate with earnings calls data
about 10 hours ago
We analyse whether textual information extracted from firms’ earnings calls can improve...
MuSE: a multiple macro-financial scenario simulation engine for stress testing
about 10 hours ago
We design an econometric framework to simulate multiple adverse macro-financial scenarios that...
Europe’s venture capital gap and the financing of high-growth firms
1 day ago
This box examines EU venture capital market developments and the implications for...
On-the-job search in Europe and the U.S.: precautionary vs. job ladder motives
1 day ago
While employer-to-employer (E2E) transitions are by now well-documented, these data alone cannot...
Severity over quantity. Drivers of supervisory capital add-ons in internal ratings-based models
1 day ago
Banks use their internal models to estimate capital requirements in a risk-sensitive...
Feeling the heat unevenly: energy prices and household consumption
2 days ago
This box examines the mechanisms behind the aggregate and distributional effects of...
The transmission of shocks across sectors and the dynamics of sectoral prices
2 days ago
This paper studies the dynamics of U.S. sectoral producer prices in a...
Tracing the ripple effects of the Middle East war on euro area consumption
2 days ago
The onset of the war in the Middle East triggered a sharp...
Adoption and investment in AI across the euro area. Insights from harmonised firm-level data
8 days ago
This paper explores the adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) technologies among euro...
The Paris Agreement ten years later: Navigating climate uncertainty and tipping points
8 days ago
The climate crisis is an urgent, human-driven systemic challenge whose impacts are...
A SPOT in the dark: using AI to assess financial stability risks
7 days ago
Financial stability risks consist of two distinct components: vulnerabilities and possible trigger...