ECB - European Central Bank

Adoption and investment in AI across the euro area. Insights from harmonised firm-level data

5 days ago

This paper explores the adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) technologies among euro...

The Paris Agreement ten years later: Navigating climate uncertainty and tipping points

5 days ago

The climate crisis is an urgent, human-driven systemic challenge whose impacts are...

A SPOT in the dark: using AI to assess financial stability risks

4 days ago

Financial stability risks consist of two distinct components: vulnerabilities and possible trigger...

Threshold endogeneity in vector autoregressions: reassessing monetary state dependence

4 days ago

We develop an endogenous threshold VAR that addresses contemporaneous dependence between the...

Government finance statistics guide

3 days ago

Subjective earnings and employment dynamics

3 days ago

We develop a new approach to estimating earnings, job, and employment dynamics...

Let the tree decide: FABART. A non-parametric factor model for nonlinear oil shock transmission

3 days ago

The question of how oil supply news shocks transmit to real activity...

Central banks, debt managers, and specialness in the Bund repo market

6 days ago

Elevated repo rate specialness for German government bonds in 2016–17, and particularly...

The effects of a large energy price shock on bank credit

6 days ago

This study investigates the effect of the large shock to energy prices...

Survey on credit terms and conditions in euro-denominated securities financing and OTC derivatives markets (SESFOD) – September 2026

9 days ago

The devil in the DeTail: assessing state-contingent tail effects of a releasable macroprudential capital buffer using a parsimonious agent-based framework

9 days ago

This paper develops an agent-based framework (DeTail) to assess the state-contingent tail...

Import tariff transmission in a production network

9 days ago

We find that whether US import tariffs have supply-side effects or demand-side...