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Overcoming Bias

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Latest posts

Last updated 3 days ago

Most Likely Future Filter: World Govt

3 days ago

The great filter (a term I coined) is all the things that...

The End Of Culture

5 days ago

For years now, I’ve collected ideas for fixing cultural drift, and tried...

200yrs of Reasons For World Govt

5 days ago

I asked Claude Fable 5 to, for each 25yr period starting in...

LLM-judged policy debates

7 days ago

In many policy areas, the usual convention wisdom on policy is actually...

Overly Smooth Drained Strict Costly Norms

10 days ago

Humanity’s superpower is cultural evolution, which we had working long before language...

Callard's Uni-Context

13 days ago

Agnes Callard just dropped a new conceptual tool for understanding we moderns:The...

This Time Is Always Different

15 days ago

Over the last few centuries the world has seen many huge changes...

Firm Inside Info Auctions

17 days ago

In the process of seeing and doing things, firm principals acquire “inside”...

Why So Lucky In Weights?

22 days ago

The website InTheWeights.Com rates people on a 0-1000 scale re how well...

My Politics

26 days ago

Not sure why I didn’t notice before, but I’ve just realized that...

AI Solution to Cultural Drift?

28 days ago

On reflection, I am now a bit more optimistic about solving cultural...

Beware Change-Blocking Priors

30 days ago

“Faced with the choice between changing one’s mind and proving that there...