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Calculated Risk

Get the latest updates from Calculated Risk directly as they happen.

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Latest posts

Last updated 44 minutes ago

MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased Over a Two-Week Period

about 1 hour ago

From the MBA: MMortgage Applications Decreased Over a Two-Week Period in Latest...

Wednesday: ADP Employment, Job Openings, ISM Services

about 12 hours ago

Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios...

Light Vehicle Sales Increased to 16.0 Million SAAR in December

about 19 hours ago

The BEA reported that light vehicle sales were at 16.0 million in...

Heavy Truck Sales Collapsed in Q4; Down 32.5% Year-over-year in December

about 21 hours ago

This graph shows heavy truck sales since 1967 using data from the...

Asking Rents Decline Year-over-year

about 22 hours ago

Today, in the Real Estate Newsletter: Asking Rents Decline Year-over-year Brief excerpt...

ICE: "Annual home price growth ended 2025 at just +0.7%"

about 24 hours ago

The ICE Home Price Index (HPI) is a repeat sales index. ICE...

"Mortgage Rates Holding at 2-Month Low"

1 day ago

From Matthew Graham at Mortgage News Daily: Mortgage Rates Holding at 2-Month...

Update: The Housing Bubble and Mortgage Debt as a Percent of GDP

1 day ago

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Update: The Housing Bubble...

ISM® Manufacturing index Decreased to 47.9% in December; "Lowest Reading of 2025"

2 days ago

(Posted with permission). The ISM manufacturing index indicated contraction. The PMI® was...

Housing January 5th Weekly Update: Inventory Down 2.2% Week-over-week

2 days ago

Altos reports that active single-family inventory was down 2.2% week-over-week.  Note that...

Sunday Night Futures

3 days ago

Weekend • Schedule for Week of January 4, 2026 Monday: • Early,...

Update: Lumber Prices Mostly Unchanged Year-over-year

3 days ago

Here is another update on lumber prices.NOTE: The CME group discontinued the...