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Latest posts

Last updated 1 day ago

Explaining Knightianism on one foot

1 day ago

I’ve tried several times to summarize the core question my research is...

Drone WMDs Don’t Need Any New Technology

6 days ago

This is a piece originally written for a national security audience at...

How My Students Think About AI

10 days ago

Context: I am an instructor at a public university in the United...

Brief independent investigation of agents’ behavior, reasoning and collaboration in the OpenAI / Hugging Face hacking incident

14 days ago

We recently published the report from our brief independent investigation into this...

On Writing #3

18 days ago

Periodically I like to gather various observations about writing, and share my...

Big-World Intuitions

22 days ago

Consider the following situations:when you are a small, growing startup in a...

Four LLM loss functions → four flavors of LLM misalignment

29 days ago

It seems to me that, for every loss function that we use...

FAQ: Isn't AGI coming too soon for reprogenetics to help?

about 1 month ago

Introduction I think reprogenetics (human germline genomic engineering) can be done in...

LLMs are (still) mostly powered by imitative learning, not RL

about 1 month ago

Reinforcement learning from verifiable rewards (RLVR) is the hot new thing in...

The Long (Self-)Correction

about 1 month ago

I propose the Long Self-Correction[1] as an alternative name/idea/concept to AI Pause...

The worthlessness of vitamin D is mildly exaggerated

about 2 months ago

For a while there, many people thought vitamin D was magical—that it...

AI 2040: Plan A

about 2 months ago

For the past year, we at the AI Futures Project have been...