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Overcoming Bias
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Latest posts
Last updated 1 day ago
Reason’s Overreach
1 day ago
Our most basic and ancient system for learning the consequences of our...
Why Modernist Value Changes?
3 days ago
Standard decision theory says that basic values should be constant, and not...
How Adaptive Modern Fiction?
8 days ago
By averaging estimates of ChatGPT 3, 4.5, I find that in these...
Seeing like a STEM
9 days ago
In Seeing Like a State, James C. Scottshows how central governments attempt...
Combos Cut Long-Shot Bias
10 days ago
Simple betting markets have long suffered from a long-shot bias: long-shots chances...
Sexism Promoted Lifelong Monogamy?
11 days ago
Compared to farmers, foragers were more egalitarian and had more communal property...
Decision Conditional Prices Reflect Causal Chances
16 days ago
A common complaint about futarchy:Say you’re thinking about firing Elon Musk. …...
Futarchy Liquidity Details
21 days ago
The simple story about decision market liquidity is: such markets need an...
A Virtuous Governance Cycle
23 days ago
Governance systems can be distinguished by the goals they pursue, and by...
Dangers of Competent Governance
about 1 month ago
In most places, most areas of life are dominated either by competition...
Intuitions Have Context
about 1 month ago
By living in our world, we collect intuitions on how the physical...
Stories Are Behavior, Understood
about 1 month ago
Stories describe stuff that happens, in patterns that feel understandable to reader/viewers...