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Overcoming Bias

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Latest posts

Last updated about 1 hour ago

The Modern Mind's Fatal Flaw

about 2 hours ago

Here’s a quick history of minds. First, there were no minds, just...

Easy To Hard Discipline Academic Careers Paths

about 23 hours ago

Tasks often vary along a dimension where some tasks matter more, yet...

How To Be A Usually-Right Contrarian

3 days ago

We rightly celebrate rebels who were initially contrarian on key claims, but...

Status And Social-Skill Bias

5 days ago

The following table gives medians of 3 LLM estimates re % relative...

Why Sheep Need Pigs in Sheepdog’s Clothing

6 days ago

Your success in life will be determined largely by your ability to...

Who Are Your "Descendants"?

10 days ago

On AI risk, I’ve said that evolved things have two robust habits...

Our Likely Future Filter: World Govt

14 days ago

The great filter (a term I coined) is all the things that...

The End Of Culture

16 days ago

For years now, I’ve collected ideas for fixing cultural drift, and tried...

200yrs of Reasons For World Govt

17 days ago

I asked Claude Fable 5 to, for each 25yr period starting in...

LLM-judged policy debates

18 days ago

In many policy areas, the usual convention wisdom on policy is actually...

Overly Smooth Drained Strict Costly Norms

21 days ago

Humanity’s superpower is cultural evolution, which we had working long before language...

Callard's Uni-Context

24 days ago

Agnes Callard just dropped a new conceptual tool for understanding we moderns:The...