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Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
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Last updated about 3 hours ago
Pretty maps of the NY mayoral election vote. (The meta-point here is that people have a (false) intuition that any complicated piece of information can be conveyed in a single plot.)
about 3 hours ago
In reaction to my recent post, If Cuomo had been able to...
He “washed his hands in a can of tetraethyl lead at a press conference, claiming he was ‘not taking any chance whatever’. He knew this to be a lie, having already succumbed to a bout of lead poisoning.”
1 day ago
OK, this is absolutely horrifying The ill effects of ingested lead and...
Survey Statistics: poststratification without population level information
2 days ago
Poststratification uses population data on X to estimate E(Y) via E(E(Y |...
Was this USDA survey really “redundant, costly, politicized, and extraneous”?
2 days ago
Joshua Brooks writes I know you’ve posted on the topic more generally...
Rebecca Makkai points out: Fancy three-dimensional sets are easier to construct in books than in movies, but harder to explain
3 days ago
In a post entitled, “You’re Writing a Book. So Stop Writing a...
Ted-talking University of California professor asks sex trafficker for $3,000,000 because he thinks there’s a “50% chance” he’ll make “important discoveries” in telepathy
4 days ago
This is quite possibly the stupidest thing in the Epstein files Lord...
It’s all about the Super Pacs: How the New York Times completely misreported campaign contributions in the Maine Senate race
5 days ago
Tom Ferguson came across this news article, Who Really Has the 2026...
More scientists in the Epstein files, including a roboticist and an ESP researcher
5 days ago
I came across this webpage by Sheeva Azma entitled, “Here’s every scientist...
Herman Chernoff
6 days ago
I recently learned from a blog comment that Herman Chernoff passed away...
Reviews of our Bayesian Workflow book from Bin Yu, David Spiegelhalter, Brad Efron, Christian Robert, Rohan Alexander, and Mine Doğucu!
7 days ago
Roughly speaking, Bayesian Workflow is to Bayesian Data Analysis in 2026 what...
A ranked-choice election in Maine: Using voting data to understand preferences
8 days ago
Evan Rosenman writes The implosion of Graham Platner’s Senate campaign in Maine...
Survey Statistics: quantifying uncertainty in ranked choice voting polls
9 days ago
We’ve talked about uncertainty in polls (see Margin of Error, Total Margin...