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Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
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Last updated about 5 hours ago
Stand-up comedy—like teaching, and book writing—requires “a collaboration with the audience.”
about 5 hours ago
In our bathroom we have this book, “And here’s the kicker: Conversations...
“Placebo tests deserve a model, not just a glance.”
1 day ago
Miha Gazvoda shares this post with the above title and the subtitle...
What gets you is not what you don’t know but what you don’t know you don’t know.
2 days ago
I was thinking about the above saying in the context of bad...
How can we train researchers, and consumers of research, to put numbers in perspective as a matter of course?
3 days ago
In reaction to my article with Andy King proposing post-publication review, Dan...
What do we learn from bestseller regressions?
4 days ago
Gaurav Sood writes I was reading ‘The Bestseller Code.’ The book reports...
Posterior predictive checking is for non-Bayesians too!
5 days ago
When I first started working on posterior predictive checking back in 1988...
“Over-coverage caught by pre-registration: 47 of 56 inside a stated 50% interval”
6 days ago
Alex Malinowski has a question about evaluating the calibration of interval forecasts...
Eleven Kinds of Loneliness: Richard Yates and the tragedy of agency
6 days ago
Following up on Richard Yates (see last year’s post, Double Feature: Revolutionary...
Survey Statistics: equivalent models, equivalent weights (locally)
7 days ago
Last month we saw that the Times/Siena Poll is now using energy...
Selection effects can go both ways (for taxi drivers as well as the rest of us)
7 days ago
You know how we talk about the two modes of microeconomic reasoning...
He fit the same statistical models with three different software and got much different estimates. It’s another dimension of the multiverse.
8 days ago
Scott Cunningham writes You’ll appreciate this I think. I ran Claude code...
The Jewish vote is not about the Jewish vote; Jewish public opinion is not about Jewish public opinion
9 days ago
At the end of the second world war, Jews were a bit...