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Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
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Latest posts
Last updated about 3 hours ago
Concerns about the z-curve method
about 3 hours ago
This is Erik: A few weeks ago, Andrew blogged about a paper...
My general advice if you’re stuck on a problem understanding a model you’ve fit to data
about 7 hours ago
Someone wrote in with a complicated question about some model he’d fit...
This one’s for the blimp
about 19 hours ago
Marty Supreme was excellent. Similar to Good Time, including in its intense...
8 arguments against polling (some are good arguments, some are bad)
1 day ago
1. Background A few months ago we had a post explaining what...
The soft bigotry of low expectations
2 days ago
The headline of this NYT op-ed says it all: “Kennedy Is Telling...
What is “workflow” and why is it important?
2 days ago
A few years ago we decided to write a book on Bayesian...
It’s open season on the unabashedly earnest
3 days ago
This is Jessica. In response to my post on slop, Thomas Basbøll...
Uh oh prediction markets
3 days ago
Palko points to this post from Molly White, who writes When billionaire...
Survey Statistics: 4th helpings of the logit shift
4 days ago
In June 2025 we discussed 2 flavors of calibration, including “the logit...
The stories behind our published research from last year
4 days ago
It’s January so time to look back on what we’ve done in...
Last post on the estimated effects of Mississippi school reforms
5 days ago
For background – How much of “Mississippi’s education miracle” is an artifact...
When in doubt (in teaching and in research) do a simulation on the computer.
6 days ago
The other day I taught my class and it didn’t go so...