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andrewgelman.com

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

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Latest posts

Last updated about 13 hours ago

To what extent is it true that “All intelligence, human or artificial, must extract structure from correlational data”?

about 13 hours ago

Someone pointed me to this article, “Does AI already have human-level intelligence?”...

Jazz and quantum mechanics: Eventually Dmitri realized that they are kind of similar

1 day ago

Dmitri Tymoczko pointed me to this article by John Baez explaining general...

Adjusting for nonrepresentativeness in continuous norming using multilevel regression and poststratification.

3 days ago

Klazien de Vries, Marieke E. Timmerman, Anja F. Ernst, and Casper J...

“The Data Analyst’s Guide to Cause and Effect”

3 days ago

Theiss Bendixen and Benjamin Grant Purzycki wrote this book. He writes The...

From a message I sent to a potential co-blogger

4 days ago

I emailed I’m sure the readers would appreciate your posts. I think...

Survey Statistics: should MRP workflow include LOCO-CV ?

4 days ago

Due tomorrow (June 10): Enter a contest for Alexandre Andorra’s interview of...

Naming a jail after a convicted criminal

5 days ago

Here’s the background Mayor Giuliani took the unusual step of naming the...

Stein’s method, learning and inference -or- how to really monitor convergence and thin chains

5 days ago

This post is from Bob I’ve been thinking a lot about scores...

Podcast coming on Bayesian workflow! With a contest!

6 days ago

Alexandre Andorra will be interviewing Aki, Richard, and me on the topic...

Scott Alexander as a modern-day Edmund Wilson

7 days ago

Edmund Wilson was a mid-twentieth-century literary critic and all-around intellectual authority. He...

When is detecting AI-generated text worthwhile?

7 days ago

This is Jessica. AI-text detectors are coming to play a bigger role...

What is the relation between interactions in a regression model and correlations among the predictors?

8 days ago

I’ve often seen confusion between interactions in a regression model and correlations...