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andrewgelman.com

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

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Latest posts

Last updated about 12 hours ago

The Aristocrats! (Found poetry in the email archive)

about 12 hours ago

“The smartest people in the world had gathered in Los Angeles” —...

A Borgesian blog idea (and nothing to do with forking paths)

about 21 hours ago

Palko points to the above xkcd cartoon, which is absolutely wonderful. My...

Sociology of science: What does it take for erroneous or fraudulent claims to take hold?

2 days ago

I was talking with someone the other day about some disputed claim...

The density of fraud

3 days ago

Last year we discussed the story of a doctor at Columbia University...

The fifth anniversary of a viral histogram

4 days ago

This is Erik. Five years ago, I wrote a short paper about...

How is it that this problem, with its 21 data points, is so much easier to handle with 1 predictor than with 16 predictors?

4 days ago

Here’s a story that appears on pages 309-310 of Active Statistics Many...

The Democrats were lucky that the election was last week and not next week.

4 days ago

The headline result from last week’s elections was: Democrats win across the...

The value of close reading: Larry Summers edition

5 days ago

The principle, “God is in every leaf of every tree,” doesn’t just...

Noted economist likes to talk about demographics but he doesn’t know the actual facts.

6 days ago

This one came from the U.S. House of Representatives, for some reason...

Survey Statistics: weights and MRP for voters

7 days ago

So far we’ve focused on a population mean E[Y] as our quantity...