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andrewgelman.com

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

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Latest posts

Last updated about 7 hours ago

I am shocked, shocked to learn that this 2002 paper by Dan Ariely is based on dubious data and doesn’t replicate.

about 7 hours ago

Dan Ariely—the much-decorated business school professor, retired Wall Street Journal columnist, Ted-talk...

Do children grow continuously or do they grow in fits and starts?

about 12 hours ago

There’s some literature on saltatory growth in children From 1992: Saltation and...

Coyote vs. Acme (also, for free, my take on The Odyssey)

1 day ago

First, let’s get this one out of the way: my take on...

“Why did ANOVA fall out of fashion?”

3 days ago

A student asks the above question My response: Anova is still important;...

Update on U.S. government’s push for “gold standard science”

4 days ago

We had a discussion last year I got this email the other...

What stories should we tell about science now?

3 days ago

This is Jessica. Like many academics, I am concerned about what sort...

Where’s the Evel Knievel blockbuster biopic?

4 days ago

A few years ago we discussed Objects of the class Jacques Cousteau...

The incredible shrinking SSRN page

4 days ago

I was going through comments on this morning’s post which involved the...

This University of Chicago statistician has authored 258 academic papers in 2026 (so far).

5 days ago

Jeremy Horpedahl tells the story Nicholas Polson has, by my count using...

Postdoc and doctoral student positions in Bayesian workflow at Aalto, Finland

5 days ago

This job ad is by Aki I’m looking for postdocs and doctoral...

Survey Statistics: more on SynthMargins and Bayes-Raking

6 days ago

Last week we discussed SynthMargins, a method from the poster Modeling Complex...