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andrewgelman.com

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

Get the latest updates from Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science directly as they happen.

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Latest posts

Last updated about 7 hours ago

Update on “I don’t understand this paper claiming election fraud in 2024 in Pennsylvania”

about 7 hours ago

Last year we briefly discussed a hard-to-follow paper by political scientist Walter...

Updike and statistical writing; more on honesty and precision

about 13 hours ago

So, yeah, I’ve been reading more of these Updike stories. They’re really...

Confirmation bias in software testing, Walnutpie edition

1 day ago

So, those exciting results I presented at StanCon about Walnutpie? Let’s pull...

Metascience corner: What can we learn from 12 million empirical research results?

1 day ago

This is Witold and today we are building a bear. In our...

Survey Statistics: logit shift and raking

2 days ago

We’ve been discussing how to use population margin information about poststratification variables...

Updike’s kaleidoscope: Telling a life through a set of unconnected stories

3 days ago

John Updike wrote around 250 short stories, the vast majority of which...

I am shocked, shocked to learn that this 2002 paper by Dan Ariely is based on dubious data and doesn’t replicate.

3 days ago

Dan Ariely—the much-decorated business school professor, retired Wall Street Journal columnist, Ted-talk...

Do children grow continuously or do they grow in fits and starts?

4 days ago

There’s some literature on saltatory growth in children From 1992: Saltation and...

Coyote vs. Acme (also, for free, my take on The Odyssey)

4 days ago

First, let’s get this one out of the way: my take on...

“Why did ANOVA fall out of fashion?”

6 days ago

A student asks the above question My response: Anova is still important;...

Update on U.S. government’s push for “gold standard science”

7 days ago

We had a discussion last year I got this email the other...