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andrewgelman.com

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

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Latest posts

Last updated about 6 hours ago

Hey, I’m in the dictionary!

about 6 hours ago

The House of Commons, the Supreme Court, Private Eye, and, above, Merriam-Webster....

Validating language models as study participants: How it’s being done, why it fails, and what works instead

1 day ago

This is Jessica. Earlier this year, I started paying attention to proposals...

What’s your Jordan3 number?

1 day ago

In the discussion of our post, Who has the lowest Erdos-Bacon-Epstein number...

Everything I need to know I learned in Little League

2 days ago

This post is by Bob “Little League” is what we call baseball...

“Re-examination of the 3/4-law of metabolism” and “Toward a metabolic theory of ecology”

2 days ago

The above graphs are from Regression and Other Stories, as a demonstration...

Survey Statistics: 3rd helpings of the logit shift

4 days ago

In June we discussed 2 flavors of calibration Poststratification “Logit Shift” or...

Annals of idiot spam

4 days ago

This one came in the mail today Hi Andrew, Your achievements and...

Simulating from and checking a model in Stan

5 days ago

When building models, it’s helpful to check our understanding by simulating fake...

Who is the most famous living person who was born on each continent?

5 days ago

Matt Larson writes Because of your interest in fame [see here, here,...

Combining a high-quality probability sample with data from larger online panels

6 days ago

Yajuan Si, James Wagner, and Ron Kessler write The traditional use of...

The cathedral, the bazaar, and statistical workflow

7 days ago

Back in 1997, programmer and open-source activist Eric Raymond wrote an online...