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andrewgelman.com

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

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Latest posts

Last updated about 4 hours ago

They were trying to convince everybody to have 3 kids

about 5 hours ago

We were just here–pretty unusual to see a museum exposition devoted to...

It’s fine to use computer-generated survey responses—if you don’t care about the data anyway!

1 day ago

Think about it like this: a survey organization uses a method M...

Survey Statistics: Fat Bear Week 2026

3 days ago

Happy Fat Bear Week to all who celebrate. In 2024 I made...

“Phonics is a fad, but it’s also good, so we should do it anyway, even though it will probably disappoint people”

3 days ago

Tyler Watts and Drew Bailey write Educational policy is often viewed as...

Do high school students have to work harder nowadays?

4 days ago

I happened to come across this old comment thread where Richard Serlin...

How did it go, this prediction from ten years ago about Chinese fertility in 2026?

5 days ago

From 2017 Gaurav Sood points us to this post, “Why did so...

The Immigration and Nationality Act of 1952

6 days ago

I was reading the London Review of Books and came across this...

Meritocracy to-morrow and meritocracy yesterday – but never meritocracy to-day

7 days ago

We’ve written a lot about meritocracy recently – “Howard Lutnick gives top...

Scientific citations as an overwhelmed communication channel

8 days ago

Peter Dorman writes This looks like it’s up your alley. I find...

Charting the Agentic Garden of Forking Paths

10 days ago

Arjun Balaji, Batuhan Duru Yeltekin, and Tian Zheng write Even with a...

Survey Statistics: ANOVA

10 days ago

Andrew recently answered “Why did ANOVA fall out of fashion?” Anova is...