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andrewgelman.com

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

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Latest posts

Last updated about 15 hours ago

Gray Davis, Grover Norquist, and a rabbi walk into a conference . . . and get no press coverage!

about 15 hours ago

You know that Oscar Wilde saying, “There is only one thing in...

LLM-generated Stan case study on Galielo’s inclined plane experiment

1 day ago

This post is from Bob I’ve been planning for at least a...

Gambling provides a gentle rocking of the emotions to put you in a pleasant baby-like state

1 day ago

A commenter recommended the book, Addiction by Design: Machine Gambling in Las...

Elmore Leonard.

3 days ago

With Leonard’s reputation as a Western author growing, [Detroit-based advertising agency] Campbell-Ewald...

R wins statistics award.

3 days ago

Elena Belogolovsky writes Congratulations to the R Core Team on receiving the...

Call for invited session proposals for the upcoming BayesComp conference

3 days ago

Lu Zhang writes As a member of the BayesComp 2027 conference committee,...

Survey Statistics: using MRP in later analyses (pride edition)

3 days ago

Happy pride One way I celebrated was by reading Lax &...

The New York Knicks and the martingale property of calibrated probability forecasts

4 days ago

This long post covers four topics 1. The Knicks’ stunning series of...

Ph.D. student opening in Sweden on Earth Observation, Data Science, and AI for poverty estimation

4 days ago

Adel Daoud writes I’m writing to ask for your help circulating a...

Capitalism: On its last legs or healthy enough to be milked?

5 days ago

In The Strange Death of Tory England, a book full of great...

“Are prediction markets causing more harm than good?”

6 days ago

The other day I was invited to an “anti-debate” on the above...

To what extent is it true that “All intelligence, human or artificial, must extract structure from correlational data”?

7 days ago

Someone pointed me to this article, “Does AI already have human-level intelligence?”...