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andrewgelman.com

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

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Latest posts

Last updated about 1 hour ago

15 new articles on statistical workflow!

about 1 hour ago

Aki, Richard, Lizzie, and I put together a special issue on Statistical...

The Kappa Zoo: David Eubanks’s online monograph on rating models

about 20 hours ago

David Eubanks writes My site is kappazoo.com, and it’s still a work...

What if scientists really were dispassionate observers, communicating ideas without irrational commitment? Look here, says AI.

about 22 hours ago

This is Jessica. We often idealize science as proceeding primarily by the...

Statistical analysis recapitulates the development of statistical methods

1 day ago

We ran this a few years ago but it remains interesting so...

No, Bayes does not like Mayor Pete. (Pitfalls of using implied betting market odds to estimate electability.)

2 days ago

This one’s from 2019, but it’s worth reposting given recent interest in...

Survey Statistics: double-plus robustness

3 days ago

Meng (2022) pops up a lot here: “it is the people” (the...

How much skill is in “skill games”? There can’t be much.

3 days ago

A few years ago we posted on luck vs. skill in poker...

“The Ten Year Affair”

4 days ago

I just finished The Ten Year Affair by Erin Somers. The book...

Physics fraud compared to fraud and junk science in the social and behavioral sciences

5 days ago

A few months ago I read this book, Plastic Fantastic: How the...

The “humans are imperfect reporters too” defense for ascribing little thoughts to machines

6 days ago

This is Jessica. In my last post about the tension between the...

Differences between crackdowns on dissent now and in the early Cold War period

6 days ago

First, the similarities 1. Government actors are directly threatening both private citizens...