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andrewgelman.com

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

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Latest posts

Last updated about 13 hours ago

Living the metascience dream (or nightmare) with AI for science

about 13 hours ago

This is Jessica. We recently wrote about multiverse analysis, which takes the...

Hey, self-publishers! It seems that you are getting scammed.

about 20 hours ago

WordPress is pretty good: just about all the spam comments we receive...

“Giving less power to statistical power”

2 days ago

Megan Higgs and Valentin Amrhein write Researchers often need to justify their...

Computing pi by flipping a coin

3 days ago

EJ points us to this charming new paper by Jim Propp, which...

Hey! I almost got scammed by Google.

3 days ago

It’s time to renew my passport–it’s been 10 years!–so I went online...

What do Socrates, Herb Simon, and Andrew Gelman have in common? A love of the oral tradition

5 days ago

This post is from Bob With all the hand-wringing over generative AI...

The 80% power lie

5 days ago

This came up in class today and I wanted to repost it...

Fitting a model to estimate the seats-votes curve, back in the bad old days before we had Stan

6 days ago

Look how hard we had to work OK, it wasn’t all that...

Survey Statistics: Gallup’s Presidential Approval Ratings

7 days ago

You may have seen the news last week that Gallup will no...

The Atlantic Monthly, March, 1947

7 days ago

I picked this off the bookshelf the other day–I have no idea...

(my online talk Tues 24 Feb, 9am) Russian Roulette: The need for stochastic potential outcomes when utilities depend on counterfactuals

7 days ago

I’m speaking at this online seminar The Behind-the-Scenes Seminar Series is designed...