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andrewgelman.com

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

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Latest posts

Last updated about 9 hours ago

Why are there squares everywhere in statistics (e.g., normal density, variance, least squares, etc.)?

about 9 hours ago

I remember asking my colleagues at Carnegie Mellon this very same question...

Sean Manning’s lexicon

about 15 hours ago

Unlike me, the historian lists his entries not chronologically but alphabetically Abstraction...

When is it time for a Five-Year Plan?

1 day ago

The term “Five-Year Plan” is a bitter joke, referring to the announcements...

Alchemize: PyMC’s model to replace Stan/PyMC, etc. with an LLM

2 days ago

This post is from Bob I’ll let Thomas Wiecki, who is one...

“DC Conventional Wisdom Goes Down to Defeat in State after State”

3 days ago

Josh Marshall writes Elections are hard to predict. But even with that,...

Recent discoveries on the acquisition of the highest levels of statistical fallacies

4 days ago

Mark Goldstein points us to this post by Alex Dimakis, who writes...

Survey Statistics: relevant alternatives ?

4 days ago

Three weeks ago we modeled vote choice with candidates C = {Left...

The Application Matters: Medical Ethics and Counterfactual Utilities

4 days ago

I believe, as applied statisticians, we need to get our hands dirty...

I’m on the EPA science advisory board.

5 days ago

I just joined, and I’m one of 37 people on the board...

It kinda makes sense that you can know roughly 700 people.

6 days ago

In planning my new course I read through Daniel Bell’s 1973 book...

Who wanted Trump to run in 2024?

7 days ago

Weakliem writes In 2016, Donald Trump lost the popular vote to a...