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Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
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Last updated about 14 hours ago
No, Bayes does not like Mayor Pete. (Pitfalls of using implied betting market odds to estimate electability.)
about 14 hours ago
This one’s from 2019, but it’s worth reposting given recent interest in...
Survey Statistics: double-plus robustness
1 day ago
Meng (2022) pops up a lot here: “it is the people” (the...
How much skill is in “skill games”? There can’t be much.
1 day ago
A few years ago we posted on luck vs. skill in poker...
Physics fraud compared to fraud and junk science in the social and behavioral sciences
4 days ago
A few months ago I read this book, Plastic Fantastic: How the...
The “humans are imperfect reporters too” defense for ascribing little thoughts to machines
4 days ago
This is Jessica. In my last post about the tension between the...
Differences between crackdowns on dissent now and in the early Cold War period
5 days ago
First, the similarities 1. Government actors are directly threatening both private citizens...
Don’t cite sources you haven’t read, and don’t trust when people claim to be reporting something from the literature.
6 days ago
Peter Dorman writes In case you haven’t seen it, check out this...
Full day Stan tutorial at Modern Modeling Methods (M3) this summer in New York (22 June 2026)
6 days ago
This post is from Bob Mitzi Morris and Bob Carpenter, two of...
“The Quick Fix: Why Fad Psychology Can’t Cure Our Social Ills”
7 days ago
I heard about the above-titled book by science journalist Jesse Singal when...
What do I think about that proposed Arxiv policy to ban authors of papers with AI slop?
8 days ago
Tim First writes I’m curious what your thoughts are on the new...