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andrewgelman.com

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

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Latest posts

Last updated about 16 hours ago

If Books Could Kill podcast

about 16 hours ago

As we’ve discussed, the If Books Could Kill podcast has its issues...

Why are there squares everywhere in statistics (e.g., normal density, variance, least squares, etc.)?

1 day ago

I remember asking my colleagues at Carnegie Mellon this very same question...

Sean Manning’s lexicon

1 day ago

Unlike me, the historian lists his entries not chronologically but alphabetically Abstraction...

When is it time for a Five-Year Plan?

3 days ago

The term “Five-Year Plan” is a bitter joke, referring to the announcements...

Alchemize: PyMC’s model to replace Stan/PyMC, etc. with an LLM

3 days ago

This post is from Bob I’ll let Thomas Wiecki, who is one...

“DC Conventional Wisdom Goes Down to Defeat in State after State”

4 days ago

Josh Marshall writes Elections are hard to predict. But even with that,...

Recent discoveries on the acquisition of the highest levels of statistical fallacies

5 days ago

Mark Goldstein points us to this post by Alex Dimakis, who writes...

Survey Statistics: relevant alternatives ?

5 days ago

Three weeks ago we modeled vote choice with candidates C = {Left...

The Application Matters: Medical Ethics and Counterfactual Utilities

5 days ago

I believe, as applied statisticians, we need to get our hands dirty...

I’m on the EPA science advisory board.

6 days ago

I just joined, and I’m one of 37 people on the board...

It kinda makes sense that you can know roughly 700 people.

7 days ago

In planning my new course I read through Daniel Bell’s 1973 book...