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andrewgelman.com

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

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Latest posts

Last updated about 4 hours ago

“Re-examination of the 3/4-law of metabolism” and “Toward a metabolic theory of ecology”

about 4 hours ago

The above graphs are from Regression and Other Stories, as a demonstration...

Survey Statistics: 3rd helpings of the logit shift

2 days ago

In June we discussed 2 flavors of calibration Poststratification “Logit Shift” or...

Annals of idiot spam

2 days ago

This one came in the mail today Hi Andrew, Your achievements and...

Simulating from and checking a model in Stan

3 days ago

When building models, it’s helpful to check our understanding by simulating fake...

Who is the most famous living person who was born on each continent?

3 days ago

Matt Larson writes Because of your interest in fame [see here, here,...

Combining a high-quality probability sample with data from larger online panels

4 days ago

Yajuan Si, James Wagner, and Ron Kessler write The traditional use of...

The cathedral, the bazaar, and statistical workflow

5 days ago

Back in 1997, programmer and open-source activist Eric Raymond wrote an online...

If you’re interested in the Box-Cox power transformation . . .

6 days ago

You can read this post from Danielle Navarro I also recommend Section...

Seven-parameter drift-diffusion pdfs and cdfs now in Stan

7 days ago

This post is from Bob Drift-diffusion models Whew. The cdf function for...

A slew of improvements to NUTS

7 days ago

Hold onto your hats, because 2026 promises to bring a whole slew...