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andrewgelman.com

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

Get the latest updates from Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science directly as they happen.

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Latest posts

Last updated about 11 hours ago

From a message I sent to a potential co-blogger

about 11 hours ago

I emailed I’m sure the readers would appreciate your posts. I think...

Survey Statistics: should MRP workflow include LOCO-CV ?

1 day ago

Due tomorrow (June 10): Enter a contest for Alexandre Andorra’s interview of...

Naming a jail after a convicted criminal

1 day ago

Here’s the background Mayor Giuliani took the unusual step of naming the...

Stein’s method, learning and inference -or- how to really monitor convergence and thin chains

2 days ago

This post is from Bob I’ve been thinking a lot about scores...

Podcast coming on Bayesian workflow! With a contest!

2 days ago

Alexandre Andorra will be interviewing Aki, Richard, and me on the topic...

Scott Alexander as a modern-day Edmund Wilson

3 days ago

Edmund Wilson was a mid-twentieth-century literary critic and all-around intellectual authority. He...

When is detecting AI-generated text worthwhile?

4 days ago

This is Jessica. AI-text detectors are coming to play a bigger role...

What is the relation between interactions in a regression model and correlations among the predictors?

4 days ago

I’ve often seen confusion between interactions in a regression model and correlations...

Old posts on the Monkey Cage blog, also something about Israel and Hamas

5 days ago

A couple of decades ago some political scientists at George Washington University...

Against shallow anti-rational humanism

6 days ago

Jessica writes I get so tired of people dumping on decision theory...

Epidemiologist Donna Spiegelman sez: SUTVA is “mostly not necessary for valid causal estimation and inference most of the time”

7 days ago

Donna Spiegelman shares this presentation she gave at the recent American Causal...

Survey Statistics: it is (still) the people

8 days ago

A year and a day ago, the Survey Statistics blog series launched...