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andrewgelman.com

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

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Latest posts

Last updated about 15 hours ago

Our sanctimonious overlords (Kenneth Starr edition)

about 15 hours ago

We’ve talked about Kenneth Starr and Jeffrey Epstein before. Another batch of...

What a multiverse good for anyway?

1 day ago

This is Jessica. Imagine that it’s trivially easy to hand an empirical...

The New York Young Republican Club, but this time with no butt plugs or dildos

1 day ago

I came across this news item Leaders of Young Republican groups throughout...

The fifth annual Cherry Blossom Prediction Competition is open!

2 days ago

We are once again running the annual Cherry Blossom Prediction Competition, open...

Sethi on “Betting on Geopolitical Violence”

3 days ago

Rajiv Sethi writes Back in 2003, a Pentagon office led by Admiral...

Survey Statistics: more on recalled vote

3 days ago

In December we simulated data with measurement error in recalled past vote...

A consensus–but it’s a consensus of uncertainty.

5 days ago

Jay Kadane sends along this this new paper on subjectivity and objectivity...

Everything I ever needed to know in life I learned from the men in the Epstein files

5 days ago

This is Jessica.  As literary agent and Epstein comrade John Brockman tells...

Hey, here’s $100,000 down the drain!

7 days ago

As the saying goes, some people have more dollars than sense Check...