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andrewgelman.com

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

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Latest posts

Last updated about 8 hours ago

MrPlew: Locally Equivalent Weights for Multilevel Regression and Poststratification

about 8 hours ago

Ryan Giordano, Alice Cima, Jared Murray, Erin Hartman, and Avi Feller write...

Jonah’s seminar tomorrow: “Bayesian Workflow and the Software That Shapes It”

about 15 hours ago

This is Leo. Jonah Gabry (Stan developer, Andrew’s collaborator, etc.) is spending...

What is “the definition of a professional career”?

about 18 hours ago

I happened to come across this post from 2015 where I discussed...

If Books Could Kill podcast

2 days ago

As we’ve discussed, the If Books Could Kill podcast has its issues...

Why are there squares everywhere in statistics (e.g., normal density, variance, least squares, etc.)?

3 days ago

I remember asking my colleagues at Carnegie Mellon this very same question...

Sean Manning’s lexicon

3 days ago

Unlike me, the historian lists his entries not chronologically but alphabetically Abstraction...

When is it time for a Five-Year Plan?

4 days ago

The term “Five-Year Plan” is a bitter joke, referring to the announcements...

Alchemize: PyMC’s model to replace Stan/PyMC, etc. with an LLM

5 days ago

This post is from Bob I’ll let Thomas Wiecki, who is one...

“DC Conventional Wisdom Goes Down to Defeat in State after State”

5 days ago

Josh Marshall writes Elections are hard to predict. But even with that,...

Recent discoveries on the acquisition of the highest levels of statistical fallacies

6 days ago

Mark Goldstein points us to this post by Alex Dimakis, who writes...

Survey Statistics: relevant alternatives ?

6 days ago

Three weeks ago we modeled vote choice with candidates C = {Left...