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andrewgelman.com

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

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Latest posts

Last updated about 13 hours ago

The high cost of split R-hat

about 13 hours ago

This post is by Bob I’ve been thinking a lot lately about...

Guess who’s getting the big-money donations in the Maine U.S. Senate race?

about 19 hours ago

Just in time for July 4th, Tom Ferguson, Paul Jorgensen, Matthias Lalisse...

The optimizer’s curse

2 days ago

The above sketch shows a decision tree The circles are uncertainty nodes...

Survey Statistics: Big Changes in the Times/Siena Poll

3 days ago

Yesterday Nate Cohn wrote about The Big Changes Coming to the Times/Siena...

OK, I guess Lawrence “Epstein” Krauss didn’t follow his brother’s advice.

3 days ago

The former Arizona State University physicist reported in 2018 this advice from...

Cheapskate evolutionary biologist underpays his statistical help

4 days ago

OK, this one was funny. I searched the Epstein files for “statistician”...

The Anthropic Principle in Statistics and Science (my talk this Mon 29 June, 4:20pm London time)

5 days ago

The Anthropic Principle in Statistics and Science The anthropic principle in physics...

Bayesian Workflow exists as a physical book!

6 days ago

We’re very excited about this book. It’s the result of several years...

Scientific American returned to form–but I don’t know what will happen next.

6 days ago

Last month I wrote the following post. I scheduled it for November...

“Springer Nature has removed two studies by Max Planck.”

6 days ago

Jim Moody points to this news article, “Why have papers by one...

Don’t alphabetize

7 days ago

I just wrote a long post inspired by a recent post from...

Structural equation modeling (SEM) and positive definiteness

8 days ago

This post is from Bob Mitzi and I were swotting up on...