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andrewgelman.com

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

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Latest posts

Last updated about 8 hours ago

Survey Statistics: relevant alternatives ?

about 8 hours ago

Three weeks ago we modeled vote choice with candidates C = {Left...

The Application Matters: Medical Ethics and Counterfactual Utilities

about 10 hours ago

I believe, as applied statisticians, we need to get our hands dirty...

I’m on the EPA science advisory board.

about 15 hours ago

I just joined, and I’m one of 37 people on the board...

It kinda makes sense that you can know roughly 700 people.

1 day ago

In planning my new course I read through Daniel Bell’s 1973 book...

Who wanted Trump to run in 2024?

3 days ago

Weakliem writes In 2016, Donald Trump lost the popular vote to a...

More thoughts regarding comfortable, powerful people who seem willing or even eager to blow up the system.

4 days ago

I wanted to elaborate on my post from yesterday, about comfortable, powerful...

“An Axiomatic Foundation for Decisions with Counterfactual Utility”

4 days ago

Benedikt Koch, Kosuke Imai, and Tomasz Strzalecki write Counterfactual utilities evaluate decisions...

The Pick-the-Winner-Picker Heuristic: Preference for Categorically Correct Forecasts

5 days ago

A couple years ago, Jay Naborn wrote I am studying people’s preference...

David W. Hogg on why we do astrophysics (in the face of LLMs and the lack of clinical value)

5 days ago

David W. Hogg, who takes his role as scientific gadfly seriously, recently...

Overall, I remain a fan of Oliver Sacks.

6 days ago

Pedro Franco writes I just saw that the noted Oliver Sacks has...

Handbook of Markov chain Monte Carlo, second edition

7 days ago

Radu Caiu, Dootika Vats, Galin Jones, Steve Brooks, Xiao-Li Meng, and I...

Survey Statistics: Blue Rose Research is (still) hiring !

7 days ago

As readers may know, I’m a survey statistician at Blue Rose Research...