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Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
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Latest posts
Last updated about 4 hours ago
How can we train researchers, and consumers of research, to put numbers in perspective as a matter of course?
about 4 hours ago
In reaction to my article with Andy King proposing post-publication review, Dan...
What do we learn from bestseller regressions?
1 day ago
Gaurav Sood writes I was reading ‘The Bestseller Code.’ The book reports...
Posterior predictive checking is for non-Bayesians too!
2 days ago
When I first started working on posterior predictive checking back in 1988...
“Over-coverage caught by pre-registration: 47 of 56 inside a stated 50% interval”
3 days ago
Alex Malinowski has a question about evaluating the calibration of interval forecasts...
Eleven Kinds of Loneliness: Richard Yates and the tragedy of agency
3 days ago
Following up on Richard Yates (see last year’s post, Double Feature: Revolutionary...
Survey Statistics: equivalent models, equivalent weights (locally)
4 days ago
Last month we saw that the Times/Siena Poll is now using energy...
Selection effects can go both ways (for taxi drivers as well as the rest of us)
4 days ago
You know how we talk about the two modes of microeconomic reasoning...
He fit the same statistical models with three different software and got much different estimates. It’s another dimension of the multiverse.
5 days ago
Scott Cunningham writes You’ll appreciate this I think. I ran Claude code...
The Jewish vote is not about the Jewish vote; Jewish public opinion is not about Jewish public opinion
6 days ago
At the end of the second world war, Jews were a bit...
I don’t see journal review as a gatekeeping process that will keep erroneous articles from being published
7 days ago
Someone pointed to this post from last year, “If only Arxiv required...
How generic language shapes the development of social thought
8 days ago
Recently in the sister blog Generic language, that is, language that refers...
Pretty maps of the NY mayoral election vote. (The meta-point here is that people have a (false) intuition that any complicated piece of information can be conveyed in a single plot.)
9 days ago
In reaction to my recent post, If Cuomo had been able to...