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andrewgelman.com

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

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Latest posts

Last updated about 5 hours ago

Call for invited session proposals for the upcoming BayesComp conference

about 5 hours ago

Lu Zhang writes As a member of the BayesComp 2027 conference committee,...

Survey Statistics: using MRP in later analyses (pride edition)

about 7 hours ago

Happy pride One way I celebrated was by reading Lax &...

The New York Knicks and the martingale property of calibrated probability forecasts

about 13 hours ago

This long post covers four topics 1. The Knicks’ stunning series of...

Ph.D. student opening in Sweden on Earth Observation, Data Science, and AI for poverty estimation

1 day ago

Adel Daoud writes I’m writing to ask for your help circulating a...

Capitalism: On its last legs or healthy enough to be milked?

1 day ago

In The Strange Death of Tory England, a book full of great...

“Are prediction markets causing more harm than good?”

3 days ago

The other day I was invited to an “anti-debate” on the above...

To what extent is it true that “All intelligence, human or artificial, must extract structure from correlational data”?

4 days ago

Someone pointed me to this article, “Does AI already have human-level intelligence?”...

Jazz and quantum mechanics: Eventually Dmitri realized that they are kind of similar

5 days ago

Dmitri Tymoczko pointed me to this article by John Baez explaining general...

Adjusting for nonrepresentativeness in continuous norming using multilevel regression and poststratification.

6 days ago

Klazien de Vries, Marieke E. Timmerman, Anja F. Ernst, and Casper J...

“The Data Analyst’s Guide to Cause and Effect”

6 days ago

Theiss Bendixen and Benjamin Grant Purzycki wrote this book. He writes The...

From a message I sent to a potential co-blogger

7 days ago

I emailed I’m sure the readers would appreciate your posts. I think...

Survey Statistics: should MRP workflow include LOCO-CV ?

7 days ago

Due tomorrow (June 10): Enter a contest for Alexandre Andorra’s interview of...