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Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
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Latest posts
Last updated about 17 hours ago
From junk science (largely non-political) to junk medical treatments (mostly associated with the far-right): A financial connection
about 17 hours ago
Paul Krugman writes Last week the Food and Drug Administration refused to...
What do Socrates, Herb Simon, and Andrew Gelman have in common? A love of the oral tradition
1 day ago
This post is from Bob With all the hand-wringing over generative AI...
Fitting a model to estimate the seats-votes curve, back in the bad old days before we had Stan
3 days ago
Look how hard we had to work OK, it wasn’t all that...
Survey Statistics: Gallup’s Presidential Approval Ratings
3 days ago
You may have seen the news last week that Gallup will no...
The Atlantic Monthly, March, 1947
4 days ago
I picked this off the bookshelf the other day–I have no idea...
(my online talk Tues 24 Feb, 9am) Russian Roulette: The need for stochastic potential outcomes when utilities depend on counterfactuals
4 days ago
I’m speaking at this online seminar The Behind-the-Scenes Seminar Series is designed...
Hanging out: An observational study
5 days ago
Paolo Parigi writes Bruno Abrahao and I are dealing with a complex...
Funniest predatory-journal pitch ever
6 days ago
This came in the email one day Dear Dr. Gelman, I found...
The stupidity, the criminal vandalism, the wanton destruction of information involved in dichotomisation
7 days ago
This is Erik. Stephen Senn, Frank Harrell and I wrote a paper...
What to do in 2026: Your statistics diary
7 days ago
I posted this eleven years ago and it’s still relevant For the...
Our sanctimonious overlords (Kenneth Starr edition)
8 days ago
We’ve talked about Kenneth Starr and Jeffrey Epstein before. Another batch of...