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andrewgelman.com

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

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Latest posts

Last updated about 10 hours ago

The “humans are imperfect reporters too” defense for ascribing little thoughts to machines

about 10 hours ago

This is Jessica. In my last post about the tension between the...

Differences between crackdowns on dissent now and in the early Cold War period

about 13 hours ago

First, the similarities 1. Government actors are directly threatening both private citizens...

Full day Stan tutorial at Modern Modeling Methods (M3) this summer in New York (22 June 2026)

2 days ago

This post is from Bob Mitzi Morris and Bob Carpenter, two of...

“The Quick Fix: Why Fad Psychology Can’t Cure Our Social Ills”

2 days ago

I heard about the above-titled book by science journalist Jesse Singal when...

What do I think about that proposed Arxiv policy to ban authors of papers with AI slop?

4 days ago

Tim First writes I’m curious what your thoughts are on the new...

Survey Statistics: GREG

4 days ago

I just got to chat with Andrew and some of the authors...

MrPlew: Locally Equivalent Weights for Multilevel Regression and Poststratification

5 days ago

Ryan Giordano, Alice Cima, Jared Murray, Erin Hartman, and Avi Feller write...

Jonah’s seminar tomorrow: “Bayesian Workflow and the Software That Shapes It”

5 days ago

This is Leo. Jonah Gabry (Stan developer, Andrew’s collaborator, etc.) is spending...

What is “the definition of a professional career”?

6 days ago

I happened to come across this post from 2015 where I discussed...

If Books Could Kill podcast

7 days ago

As we’ve discussed, the If Books Could Kill podcast has its issues...