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andrewgelman.com

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

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Latest posts

Last updated about 12 hours ago

Don’t cite sources you haven’t read, and don’t trust when people claim to be reporting something from the literature.

about 12 hours ago

Peter Dorman writes In case you haven’t seen it, check out this...

Full day Stan tutorial at Modern Modeling Methods (M3) this summer in New York (22 June 2026)

1 day ago

This post is from Bob Mitzi Morris and Bob Carpenter, two of...

“The Quick Fix: Why Fad Psychology Can’t Cure Our Social Ills”

1 day ago

I heard about the above-titled book by science journalist Jesse Singal when...

What do I think about that proposed Arxiv policy to ban authors of papers with AI slop?

3 days ago

Tim First writes I’m curious what your thoughts are on the new...

Survey Statistics: GREG

3 days ago

I just got to chat with Andrew and some of the authors...

MrPlew: Locally Equivalent Weights for Multilevel Regression and Poststratification

4 days ago

Ryan Giordano, Alice Cima, Jared Murray, Erin Hartman, and Avi Feller write...

Jonah’s seminar tomorrow: “Bayesian Workflow and the Software That Shapes It”

4 days ago

This is Leo. Jonah Gabry (Stan developer, Andrew’s collaborator, etc.) is spending...

What is “the definition of a professional career”?

5 days ago

I happened to come across this post from 2015 where I discussed...

If Books Could Kill podcast

6 days ago

As we’ve discussed, the If Books Could Kill podcast has its issues...

Why are there squares everywhere in statistics (e.g., normal density, variance, least squares, etc.)?

6 days ago

I remember asking my colleagues at Carnegie Mellon this very same question...

Sean Manning’s lexicon

7 days ago

Unlike me, the historian lists his entries not chronologically but alphabetically Abstraction...