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andrewgelman.com

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

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Latest posts

Last updated about 14 hours ago

Survey Statistics: weights and MRP for voters

about 14 hours ago

So far we’ve focused on a population mean E[Y] as our quantity...

The accupuncture paradox and its resolution

2 days ago

This one’s important The other day we had a post on when...

What intro stats textbook to use?

3 days ago

Ishfaaq Mohammed Imtiyas writes I am a starting lecturer in statistics trying...

“Science and Religious Dogmatism”

4 days ago

A young economist who prefers to remain anonymous writes Francesca Gino, the...

MSc and PhD programs in statistics at the University of British Columbia

5 days ago

(this post is by Charles) Applications for the MSc and PhD programs...

The model underlying R-hat and a Bayesian estimator

6 days ago

This post is from Bob Andrew and I were talking the other...

If Cuomo had been able to run against Mamdani head-to-head, would he have won?

6 days ago

Yesterday we discussed the theoretical appeal of Andrew Cuomo’s recently campaign for...

The theoretical appeal of the Cuomo non-party campaign for mayor

7 days ago

There’s this principle in poker that you shouldn’t fall in love with...

Discrepancies between polls and election outcomes in 2025

7 days ago

Yesterday we discussed the final polls of the New Jersey, Virginia, and...

Predictive Modelling for Football Analytics is available!

8 days ago

This post is by Leo After a long and exciting journey, the...