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andrewgelman.com

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

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Latest posts

Last updated 4 minutes ago

The true meaning of the alzabo

21 minutes ago

OK, I guess this is obvious, but it hadn’t occurred to me...

Delicate language for talking about statistical guarantees

about 21 hours ago

This is Jessica. As I’ve been reading papers on uncertainty quantification in...

“Accounting for Nonresponse in Election Polls: Total Margin of Error”

1 day ago

Jeff Dominitz and Chuck Manski write The potential impact of nonresponse on...

How did the press do on that “black spatula” story?

2 days ago

Act 1: The journal Chemosphere publishes a research article finding that black...

He took public funds and falsified his data. Are they gonna make him pay back the $19 million?

3 days ago

As a former University of Maryland student, I’m incensed by this story...

Applications of (Bayesian) variational inference?

4 days ago

I’m curious about whether anyone’s using variational inference, and more specifically, using...

Iterative imputation and incoherent Gibbs sampling

4 days ago

Seeing this post by Tim Morris on the difference between iterative imputation...

“The Exceptions: Nancy Hopkins, MIT, and the Fight for Women in Science”

5 days ago

A distinguished female professor of cognitive and behavioral science pointed me to...

The well-meaning but useless or counterproductive social science establishment

6 days ago

Part 1: 2020 Back in the dark days of April, 2020, a...

The Theory and Practice of Oligarchical Collectivism

6 days ago

Paul Campos shares the story of a tech zillionaire who allegedly pocketed...