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andrewgelman.com

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

Get the latest updates from Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science directly as they happen.

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Latest posts

Last updated about 8 hours ago

“They had it all but they wanted more”: Left-wing radicals in the 1960s and right-wingers now

about 8 hours ago

Seeing all this news about various well-connected right-wing activists and billionaires attempting...

Of plagues and chickens: How can someone be so skeptical in one place and so credulous somewhere else?

about 14 hours ago

I was reading the London Review of Books and came across this...

Generalizing for Sampling and Causal Inference (my talk 3pm today at the University of Maryland)

1 day ago

Monday, April 28, 2025, 3:00 PM, 1101 A. James Clark Hall, University...

I don’t buy that claim that “eating whole foods and avoiding toxins” is a “horseshoe” alliance of the far left and far right

3 days ago

Palko pointed me to this news article, “How the Right Claimed ‘Crunchy’”...

“Either a 2% or a 75% chance of rain”

4 days ago

Palko writes Last Saturday, I [Palko] checked Google and saw the forecast...

The Error-Reversal Heuristic: How would you have reacted had the mistake gone in the opposite direction?

8 days ago

Something we’ve seen with depressing regularity is that researchers do something sloppy—perhaps...

New course this fall at Columbia: Laboratory in Justice Data Science

8 days ago

Ben Silver writes I’m an incoming postdoc at the Center for Justice,...

What day of the year will have the fewest noninduced births? (Difference between mathematical and statistical reasoning)

9 days ago

John Cook points to this charmingly old-school webpage of mathematician Richard Stanley...

Intergenerational socioeconomic mobility over time for different ethnic groups

10 days ago

Elisa Jácome, Ilyana Kuziemko, Suresh Naidu write: We estimate long-run trends in...