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andrewgelman.com

Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

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Latest posts

Last updated about 18 hours ago

Approaching the singularity (not in a good way)

about 18 hours ago

Lauren Coffey reports A team of researchers at the University of Colorado...

Coleridge’s principle and the difference between scientific and literary criticism

about 18 hours ago

Katherine Rundell quotes Samuel Taylor Coleridge writing “his central Principle of Criticism”...

Perfectly stable climates and other statistical myths

1 day ago

This is Jessica. As part of teaching prep this week, I was...

What are the modern myths?

1 day ago

Prolific science writer Philip Ball wrote a book called The Modern Myths...

What are the grand challenges in Bayesian computation?

3 days ago

Here’s what Anirban Bhattacharya, Antonio Linero, and Chris Oates have to say...

Clive James on Charade: What to think when someone you admire has different tastes than you?

4 days ago

From The Drowning Swimmer (1992), one of Clive James’s classic essay collections...

I love reading old book reviews

5 days ago

This came up before I encountered this book in the library, “Homage...

When do stories seem real?

6 days ago

I was rereading Lord of the Rings the other day and was...

A github utility to discover retracted articles in your .bib

6 days ago

Gaurav writes I just created a small utility to discover retracted articles...

Maybe they should just write some papers about their priors and not mess around with actual data!

8 days ago

This came up in a blog discussion a few years ago. As...

Better priors for AR, ARX, LTX, DR, MA, ARMA, and VAR models

8 days ago

We arXived last year a paper The ARR2 prior: flexible predictive prior...